Spartanxcdad: I agree with you that these two teams are very close and it would not be a big surprise at all if BHBL took the title this year. My reference to "significant improvement" was solely referring to one race - NXR. The challenge is not to be great, but to be great at the right moment. NY is going to be one of the most exciting regions in the country this year. Three of these teams could be heading to Portland and my projection is that BHBL will be one of them. I actually opened 2017 with BHBL as the #1 team in NY - they didn't fair poorly - FM just simply smashed all projections. I use 3200 times extensively in my projections but FM's 3200 times correlate less to XC predictions than any other team in the country.

Significant improvement? FM's top 3 had a
3200m avg of 9:41.50 this spring and BHBL top 3 had a 3200m avg of 9:20.13. Also should be noted is that Aidan G ran sub 16 on the Regional Course and Evan B ran 16:30 on the same course. FM's 2&3 ran 16:38 on the same course. Several factors went into BHBL's subpar performance at regionals. I am not making excuses, they had an off day, but in my opinion these 2 teams are alot closer than what you have written in your article.

Spartans not Trojans